AFP Action Press Release: HERE
What they will teach you in Campaign Schools … it’s all about MOMENTUM leading up to ELECTION DAY. What happens 3 months before (or 1 day after) really doesn’t matter but for the impact on the momentum leading up to election day. Smart candidates know this and they know when to dial back, and when to dial up, in the months before an election.
Clearly Ron DeSantis has lost all the momentum … and this AFP Action endorsement appears to be his campaign’s death knell . His trajectory in the first quarter of 2023 was “he is the man” … 11 months later, 3 months before elections, his trajectory is “he is done”.
On January 4th, 2023, the Real Clear Politics GOP Betting Average (HERE) was DeSantis (50.8%), Trump (28.4%) & Haley (5.0%).
On November 28th, 2023, that same betting average has Trump (74.0%), Haley (12.0%) & DeSantis (7.0%).
We shall see where the numbers go over the next few weeks, but which of those three candidates would you like to be?
THE $70 MILLION
And don’t forget, as we shared with you nearly 5 months ago (HERE), AFP raised $70 MILLION for their “Push to Sink TRUMP” … and that wasn’t our words, that was the New York Times reporting that obvious agenda (HERE).
Yes, that is a TON of money … and as we stated at the time as well, they were not going to give it back, and you should prepare yourself for the onslaught.
We have seen that come true as we all endure the constant barrage of mailers at our homes, radio spots, TV ads … and SPONSORSHIPS of events by Americans For Prosperity (AFP) all over South Carolina with perceived Anti-Trump groups … and a complete absence of sponsorships with perceived Pro-Trump groups. Isn’t that interesting.
FollowTheMoney!!!
DESPERATE MOVE?
We have seen some big money groups and names come back to TRUMP over this time period as it appears inevitable that he will be the nominee … and as those folks fear another 4 years under BIDEN … but it appears AFP has gone all in on the #NeverTRUMP agenda and this is a last ditch move.
Pence, Asa & Tim Scott are out. DeSantis is over. Chris Christie has no chance whatsoever and only appears still in the race to bash TRUMP.
Haley therefore is the last great hope for the “conservatives” (and business interests) who don’t want TRUMP. It’s not about Nikki … it’s about “who” has any chance whatsoever to sink TRUMP.
Will it work? Probably not … but that is why we have elections and it is going to be an interesting next 88 days (as of 11/29/2023) as we lead up to the South Carolina GOP Presidential Preference Primary on February 24th.
Anyhow, stay tuned, and …
FollowTheMoney!!!
P.S. “Hail Mary Pass”?
P.S. Some have asked if this is AFP’s “Hail Mary” referring to the football Hail Mary Pass (HERE & HERE).
We have heard countless reports that AFP officials … when challenged on their position by Trump supporting conservatives … say that AFP does not really oppose TRUMP, they are only doing this because they don’t think TRUMP can beat Biden in the November 5th, 2024, general election.
Really???
That excuse may have held water 6 months ago, but nearly all the polls out there … especially in the swing states … clearly show TRUMP soundly defeating Biden. Yes, that is today and who knows what it will be 11 months from now … momentum can change … but AFP can’t use that excuse anymore (although they probably will).
SELF-FULFILLING PROPHECY?: By all accounts it seems clear TRUMP will be the GOP nominee. Could Biden win … especially with substantial concerns over election fraud … absolutely. Will AFP then say “we told you so”? Will your answer be “because AFP spent $70 MILLION trashing TRUMP”?
No, it is not a Hail Mary Pass because that is only done when you have literally nothing to lose. Americans For Prosperity are making a calculated decision which could leave Biden in office. That is not a “nothing to lose” situation … and it is going to be very interesting the future and image of AFP when all of the dust settles.
NeverFORGET!